Charts of the Day: Lumber and Housing; Interesting… – Private Wealth Advisors

Sunday, May 30, 2021

Charts of the Day: Lumber and Housing; Interesting…

by Marty Mazorra CFP®, ChFC®

Founder & Co-Chief Investment Officer

While it’s way premature to call an end to the recent housing “boom”, the latest action in lumber and housing sentiment is getting interesting.

Here’s from our weekly futures traders’ positioning analysis:

Lumber: Net short for the first time since 6/2020. Speaks to the prohibitively high price level of late and the consequent halting/delaying of new construction projects.

May also reflect what appears to be a growing pessimism (among potential buyers) around housing going forward.

Home-Builder Sentiment (white) vs Univ of Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey results for “good time to buy a house?” question (blue):

Chart source: Julian Brigden

And here’s the latest price action in lumber futures:

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Marty Mazorra CFP®, ChFC®

Founder & Co-CIO

is the author of "Making Lemonade: A Bright View on Investing, on Financial Markets and on the Economy" and "Leaving Liberty?: Essays on Politics and Free Market Thinking".

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